Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.053774 0.062735 0.072576 0.084166 0.097418 0.112078 0.129499
2025-02-23 0.039552 0.051104 0.064978 0.082780 0.104924 0.131462 0.165565
2025-03-02 0.030132 0.042657 0.058937 0.081453 0.111560 0.150171 0.203133
2025-03-09 0.024391 0.037465 0.055691 0.082603 0.120900 0.172929 0.248324
2025-03-16 0.019213 0.031859 0.050675 0.080182 0.124615 0.188188 0.284921
2025-03-23 0.016822 0.029825 0.050300 0.084112 0.137536 0.217375 0.343912
2025-03-30 0.014269 0.026982 0.048110 0.084751 0.145309 0.239549 0.394625
2025-04-06 0.011794 0.023751 0.044692 0.082757 0.148429 0.254612 0.435611
2025-04-13 0.009899 0.021165 0.041900 0.081287 0.152003 0.270446 0.478970
2025-04-20 0.009075 0.020440 0.042272 0.085340 0.165333 0.303365 0.553061
2025-04-27 0.008244 0.019534 0.042141 0.088385 0.177102 0.334576 0.626832
2025-05-04 0.006984 0.017476 0.039437 0.086121 0.178790 0.348223 0.671175
2025-05-11 0.006035 0.015942 0.037604 0.085424 0.183552 0.368172 0.729229
2025-05-18 0.005098 0.014238 0.035139 0.083083 0.184815 0.381796 0.777028
2025-05-25 0.004349 0.012828 0.033079 0.081287 0.186915 0.397114 0.829252
2025-06-01 0.003884 0.012043 0.032313 0.082196 0.194678 0.424029 0.905793
2025-06-08 0.003291 0.010773 0.030175 0.079668 0.194756 0.435586 0.953155
2025-06-15 0.003102 0.010603 0.030723 0.083513 0.209246 0.477701 1.064916
2025-06-22 0.002781 0.009969 0.029978 0.084115 0.216461 0.505248 1.149068
2025-06-29 0.002395 0.009040 0.028290 0.082120 0.217413 0.519520 1.206703
2025-07-06 0.002082 0.008266 0.026891 0.080652 0.219416 0.536176 1.270591
2025-07-13 0.001989 0.008214 0.027532 0.084672 0.235189 0.584584 1.406496
2025-07-20 0.001870 0.008042 0.027794 0.087693 0.248778 0.629121 1.537054